Actual wins4of 8
Expected wins5.7all-play based
Luck-1.2wins vs expected
Schedules better86%would win more
Most likely record6-2.36 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 129.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 2 | 160.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 3 | 98.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 4 | 127.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Lrobbed |
| 5 | 162.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 6 | 123.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 7 | 142.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | T |
| 8 | 122.0 | Bone Bandits | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-1 | +3 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-1 | +3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-0-1 | +3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-2 | +2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-2 | +2 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 5-3 | +1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 5-3 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 4-4 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 3-4-1 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jesse's schedule you go 7-1. With Jeff's you go 3-5.