Predictions

Week 9Upcoming

BOLTTeam SportsTaylor · 3-5 · PROJ 116.969%

VALL6 Pack Big MacsNick · 3-5 · PROJ 99.831%

Taylor by 17.1Series Taylor 5–8

Week 9Upcoming

AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter · 6-2 · PROJ 128.761%

LPBBone BanditsLance · 5-3 · PROJ 117.939%

Hunter by 10.8Series Hunter 13–7

Week 9Upcoming

PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeff · 2-6 · PROJ 102.524%

WILSPimp Trick Gangsta ClickMourice · 6-2 · PROJ 129.377%

Mourice by 26.8Series Jeff 5–8

Week 9Upcoming

BOOGBooger WolfWill · 4-4 · PROJ 128.265%

NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANTEric · 5-3 · PROJ 115.535%

Will by 12.7Series Will 10–2

Week 9Upcoming

GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!!Josh · 5-3 · PROJ 127.670%

BMCBeast Mode CowboyJesse · 1-7 · PROJ 109.230%

Josh by 18.4Series Josh 9–7

MethodProjected scores blend ESPN's lineup projection for the week (50%) with each team's season scoring, shrunk toward the league average. Win probability comes from the difference of two normal distributions using each team's observed weekly variance.

Team	Rec	Exp W	Likely	Playoffs▼	Bye	No. 1	Final	Title	Last
WILSPimp Trick Gangsta ClickMourice Wilson	6-2	9.9	10-4	>99%	78%	56%	50%	28%	0%
AABAlan Autry BubbasHunter Ansley	6-2	9.3	9-5	99%	48%	22%	35%	16%	0%
GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!!Joshua Gary	5-3	8.3	8-6	93%	22%	6%	27%	12%	0%
LPBBone BanditsLance Black	5-3	8.3	8-6	93%	21%	7%	28%	13%	0%
BOOGBooger WolfWill Salzer	4-4	7.9	8-6	93%	21%	7%	37%	21%	<1%
NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANTEric Nicaud	5-3	7.9	8-6	86%	10%	2%	17%	7%	<1%
BOLTTeam SportsTaylor Bolton	3-5	5.9	6-8	26%	<1%	<1%	5%	2%	1%
VALL6 Pack Big MacsNick Valluzzo	3-5	5.2	5-9	6%	<1%	0%	1%	<1%	11%
PROCJohnson, FlaccidJeffrey Proctor	2-6	4.4	4-10	3%	<1%	0%	<1%	<1%	16%
BMCBeast Mode CowboyJesse Landry	1-7	3.1	3-11	<1%	0%	0%	<1%	0%	71%

MethodTeam strength μ/σ used: Mourice 125.4±22.5 · Hunter 119.8±27.8 · Josh 119±27.5 · Lance 120.3±29 · Will 127.3±23 · Eric 115.3±22.4 · Taylor 114±22.3 · Nick 104.5±25.5 · Jeff 109.5±29.4 · Jesse 103.8±21.8.