Actual wins3of 8
Expected wins3.3all-play based
Luck-0.3wins vs expected
Schedules better44%would win more
Most likely record3-5.33 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 93.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 2 | 139.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 3 | 129.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 4 | 94.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 5 | 130.5 | Bone Bandits | L |
| 6 | 85.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 7 | 111.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 8 | 122.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | Lrobbed |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 4-4 | +1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 4-4 | +1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 4-3-1 | +1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 4-4 | +1 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 4-3-1 | +1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 3-5 | 0 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 3-5 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 2-6 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 1-7 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 4-4. With Jeff's you go 1-7.