Actual wins4of 8
Expected wins4.0all-play based
Luck+0.5wins vs expected
Schedules better35%would win more
Most likely record4-4.30 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 103.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Wlucky |
| 2 | 115.5 | Bone Bandits | L |
| 3 | 130.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 4 | 109.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 5 | 149.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | T |
| 6 | 86.5 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 7 | 128.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Lrobbed |
| 8 | 98.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Wlucky |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-2 | +2 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 5-3 | +1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 5-3 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 4-4 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 4-4 | 0 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 4-4 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 3-5 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 3-5 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 1-5-2 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 6-2. With Jeff's you go 1-7.