Actual wins6of 8
Expected wins5.6all-play based
Luck+0.4wins vs expected
Schedules better18%would win more
Most likely record6-2.36 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 134.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 2 | 83.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 3 | 147.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 4 | 143.5 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 5 | 143.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 6 | 133.0 | Bone Bandits | W |
| 7 | 134.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 8 | 121.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 7-1 | +1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 7-1 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-2 | 0 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 6-2 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-3 | -1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-3 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 5-3 | -1 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 5-3 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 4-4 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Will's schedule you go 7-1. With Jeff's you go 4-4.