Actual wins3of 8
Expected wins2.5all-play based
Luck+0.5wins vs expected
Schedules better16%would win more
Most likely record2-6.37 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 149.5 | Bone Bandits | W |
| 2 | 107.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Wlucky |
| 3 | 64.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 4 | 108.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Wlucky |
| 5 | 80.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 6 | 85.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 7 | 98.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 8 | 98.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 4-4 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 3-5 | 0 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 3-5 | 0 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 3-5 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 2-5-1 | -1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 2-6 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 2-6 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 2-6 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 1-7 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 4-4. With Jeff's you go 1-7.