Actual wins5of 8
Expected wins4.9all-play based
Luck+0.1wins vs expected
Schedules better28%would win more
Most likely record5-3.40 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 134.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | Lrobbed |
| 2 | 134.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 3 | 139.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 4 | 130.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 5 | 167.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 6 | 73.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 7 | 114.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 8 | 86.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-2 | +1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-3 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-3 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-3 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 5-3 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 5-3 | 0 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 5-3 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 4-4 | -1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 4-4 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Josh's schedule you go 6-2. With Will's you go 4-4.