Actual wins6of 14
Expected wins5.0all-play based
Luck+1.0wins vs expected
Schedules better18%would win more
Most likely record5-9.24 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 98.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 2 | 111.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 3 | 97.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 4 | 110.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 5 | 122.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 6 | 119.0 | Bone Bandits | W |
| 7 | 127.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 8 | 118.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 9 | 94.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 10 | 115.0 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 11 | 89.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Wlucky |
| 12 | 95.5 | Booger Wolf | Wlucky |
| 13 | 75.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 14 | 76.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 8-6 | +2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-7 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-9 | -1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-9 | -1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-9 | -1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 4-10 | -2 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 4-10 | -2 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 4-10 | -2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 3-11 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Will's schedule you go 8-6. With Josh's you go 3-11.