Actual wins8of 14
Expected wins8.6all-play based
Luck-0.6wins vs expected
Schedules better53%would win more
Most likely record9-5.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 103.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 2 | 101.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 3 | 109.0 | Bone Bandits | L |
| 4 | 159.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 5 | 113.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | Wlucky |
| 6 | 121.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 7 | 140.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 8 | 111.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 9 | 135.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 10 | 141.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Lrobbed |
| 11 | 87.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 12 | 169.0 | Bone Bandits | W |
| 13 | 97.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Wlucky |
| 14 | 156.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 11-3 | +3 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 11-2-1 | +3 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 10-4 | +2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 9-5 | +1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 8-6 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 8-6 | 0 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 8-6 | 0 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 7-7 | -1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-9 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 11-3. With Eric's you go 5-9.