Actual wins5of 14
Expected wins7.2all-play based
Luck-2.2wins vs expected
Schedules better89%would win more
Most likely record7-7.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 90.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 2 | 104.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 3 | 119.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | Lrobbed |
| 4 | 126.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 5 | 90.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 6 | 100.0 | Booger Wolf | Wlucky |
| 7 | 148.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 8 | 114.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 9 | 150.0 | Bone Bandits | W |
| 10 | 121.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 11 | 138.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Lrobbed |
| 12 | 131.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 13 | 120.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 14 | 86.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 10-4 | +5 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 8-6 | +3 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 8-6 | +3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-7 | +2 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-7 | +2 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 7-7 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 6-8 | +1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-8 | +1 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 6-8 | +1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Will's schedule you go 10-4.