Actual wins4of 14
Expected wins5.1all-play based
Luck-1.1wins vs expected
Schedules better67%would win more
Most likely record5-9.31 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 123.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 2 | 116.5 | Bone Bandits | Lrobbed |
| 3 | 78.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 4 | 132.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 5 | 110.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 6 | 122.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 7 | 115.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 8 | 65.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 9 | 111.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 10 | 65.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 11 | 133.0 | Bone Bandits | W |
| 12 | 90.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 13 | 109.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 14 | 64.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-8 | +2 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-8 | +2 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 6-8 | +2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-8 | +2 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-9 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 5-9 | +1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 5-8-1 | +1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 3-11 | -1 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 3-11 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jesse's schedule you go 6-8. With Lance's you go 3-11.