Actual wins10of 14
Expected wins7.6all-play based
Luck+2.4wins vs expected
Schedules better2%would win more
Most likely record8-6.26 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 92.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 2 | 130.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 3 | 77.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 4 | 160.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 5 | 140.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 6 | 104.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 7 | 125.0 | Bone Bandits | Wlucky |
| 8 | 117.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 9 | 125.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 10 | 106.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 11 | 140.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 12 | 130.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 13 | 109.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 14 | 127.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 10-4 | 0 |
BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 9-5 | -1 |
BOOGBooger Wolf | 9-5 | -1 |
AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 9-5 | -1 |
| 8-6 | -2 | |
| 7-6-1 | -3 | |
VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 7-7 | -3 |
| 5-9 | -5 | |
| 4-10 | -6 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Taylor's you go 4-10.





