Actual wins4of 14
Expected wins5.7all-play based
Luck-1.7wins vs expected
Schedules better79%would win more
Most likely record6-8.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 92.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 2 | 153.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 3 | 114.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 4 | 121.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 5 | 116.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 6 | 89.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 7 | 117.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 8 | 117.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 9 | 115.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 10 | 110.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 11 | 76.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 12 | 153.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 13 | 64.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 14 | 98.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 9-5 | +5 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-7 | +3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-7 | +3 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-8 | +2 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-9 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 5-8-1 | +1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 5-9 | +1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 4-10 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 3-11 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Will's schedule you go 9-5. With Taylor's you go 3-11.