Actual wins11of 14
Expected wins11.2all-play based
Luck-0.2wins vs expected
Schedules better40%would win more
Most likely record11-3.32 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 143.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 2 | 101.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 3 | 125.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 4 | 143.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 5 | 149.5 | Bone Bandits | W |
| 6 | 120.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 7 | 134.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | Lrobbed |
| 8 | 122.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 9 | 134.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 10 | 147.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 11 | 162.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 12 | 110.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 13 | 141.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 14 | 155.0 | Bone Bandits | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 12-2 | +1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 12-2 | +1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 12-2 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 12-1-1 | +1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 11-3 | 0 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 11-3 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 10-4 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 10-4 | -1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 10-4 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 12-2. With Nick's you go 10-4.