Actual wins6of 14
Expected wins6.3all-play based
Luck-0.3wins vs expected
Schedules better43%would win more
Most likely record6-8.28 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 130.5 | Team Sports | Lrobbed |
| 2 | 92.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 3 | 82.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 4 | 95.5 | Bone Bandits | L |
| 5 | 108.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 6 | 147.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 7 | 90.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 8 | 96.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 9 | 109.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 10 | 101.0 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 11 | 161.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 12 | 134.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 13 | 97.5 | Bone Bandits | L |
| 14 | 117.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 8-6 | +2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-7 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-7 | +1 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 7-7 | +1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-8 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 6-7-1 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-9 | -1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 5-9 | -1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 5-9 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Hunter's schedule you go 8-6. With Nick's you go 5-9.