Actual wins6of 14
Expected wins6.2all-play based
Luck-0.2wins vs expected
Schedules better43%would win more
Most likely record6-8.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 86.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 2 | 109.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 3 | 121.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | Lrobbed |
| 4 | 68.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 5 | 134.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 6 | 98.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 7 | 145.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 8 | 129.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Lrobbed |
| 9 | 62.0 | Bone Bandits | L |
| 10 | 116.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 11 | 105.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Wlucky |
| 12 | 84.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 13 | 115.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 14 | 127.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 8-6 | +2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-7 | +1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-7 | +1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 7-7 | +1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-7 | +1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 6-8 | 0 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-9 | -1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-9 | -1 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 4-10 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jeff's schedule you go 8-6. With Lance's you go 4-10.