Actual wins3of 14
Expected wins4.5all-play based
Luck-1.5wins vs expected
Schedules better77%would win more
Most likely record4-10.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 154.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 2 | 103.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 3 | 128.5 | Bone Bandits | W |
| 4 | 79.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 5 | 106.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 6 | 113.0 | Booger Wolf | Wlucky |
| 7 | 62.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 8 | 83.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 9 | 107.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 10 | 82.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 11 | 118.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 12 | 92.0 | Bone Bandits | L |
| 13 | 107.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 14 | 76.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 7-7 | +4 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-8 | +3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 4-10 | +1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 4-10 | +1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 4-10 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 4-10 | +1 |
 LPBBone Bandits | 4-10 | +1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 4-10 | +1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 3-10-1 | 0 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Josh's schedule you go 7-7.