Actual wins7of 14
Expected wins7.1all-play based
Luck-0.1wins vs expected
Schedules better41%would win more
Most likely record7-7.23 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 124.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 2 | 129.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 3 | 106.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 4 | 147.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 5 | 104.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 6 | 123.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | Lrobbed |
| 7 | 96.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 8 | 117.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 9 | 147.5 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 10 | 105.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 11 | 113.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 12 | 103.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 13 | 105.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | Wlucky |
| 14 | 116.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 10-4 | +3 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 8-6 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 8-6 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-7 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-7 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-7 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 6-8 | -1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 6-8 | -1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-9 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Will's schedule you go 10-4. With Mourice's you go 5-9.