Actual wins5of 14
Expected wins6.4all-play based
Luck-1.4wins vs expected
Schedules better75%would win more
Most likely record6-8.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 94.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 2 | 119.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 3 | 133.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 4 | 144.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 5 | 81.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 6 | 87.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 7 | 143.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | Lrobbed |
| 8 | 117.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 9 | 79.5 | Boom Goose | L |
| 10 | 89.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Wlucky |
| 11 | 114.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 12 | 100.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 13 | 123.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 14 | 148.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 GooBoom Goose | 8-6 | +3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-7 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-7 | +2 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 7-7 | +2 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-7 | +2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-8 | +1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-8 | +1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-9 | 0 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 5-9 | 0 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jacob's schedule you go 8-6.