Actual wins7of 14
Expected wins6.5all-play based
Luck+0.5wins vs expected
Schedules better26%would win more
Most likely record6-8.24 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 114.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 2 | 97.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 3 | 101.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 4 | 124.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 5 | 120.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 6 | 99.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 7 | 107.5 | Boom Goose | L |
| 8 | 101.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 9 | 136.5 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 10 | 102.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 11 | 124.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 12 | 167.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 13 | 115.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 14 | 92.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-7 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-7 | 0 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 7-7 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-7 | 0 |
 GooBoom Goose | 7-7 | 0 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 7-7 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-8 | -1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-9 | -2 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 5-8-1 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Will's you go 5-9.