Actual wins9of 14
Expected wins8.7all-play based
Luck+0.3wins vs expected
Schedules better26%would win more
Most likely record9-5.30 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 83.5 | Boom Goose | L |
| 2 | 134.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Lrobbed |
| 3 | 215.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 4 | 130.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 5 | 96.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | Wlucky |
| 6 | 141.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 7 | 112.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 8 | 129.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 9 | 66.5 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 10 | 115.0 | Boom Goose | L |
| 11 | 155.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 12 | 129.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 13 | 138.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 14 | 82.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 10-4 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 10-4 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 9-5 | 0 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 9-5 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 9-5 | 0 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 8-6 | -1 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 8-6 | -1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 8-6 | -1 |
 GooBoom Goose | 7-7 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Eric's schedule you go 10-4. With Jacob's you go 7-7.