Actual wins9of 14
Expected wins8.1all-play based
Luck+0.9wins vs expected
Schedules better20%would win more
Most likely record8-6.24 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 97.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 2 | 120.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 3 | 148.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 4 | 125.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | Lrobbed |
| 5 | 143.0 | Boom Goose | W |
| 6 | 106.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 7 | 108.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 8 | 123.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 9 | 77.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 10 | 102.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 11 | 106.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 12 | 126.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 13 | 171.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 14 | 141.0 | Boom Goose | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 11-3 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 10-4 | +1 |
 GooBoom Goose | 10-4 | +1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 9-5 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-7 | -2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 7-7 | -2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-7 | -2 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-8 | -3 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 6-8 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 11-3. With Nick's you go 6-8.