Actual wins4of 14
Expected wins5.4all-play based
Luck-1.4wins vs expected
Schedules better75%would win more
Most likely record5-9.26 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 102.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 2 | 127.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 3 | 147.0 | Booger Wolf | Lrobbed |
| 4 | 92.0 | Boom Goose | L |
| 5 | 117.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 6 | 134.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 7 | 77.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 8 | 124.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 9 | 53.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 10 | 113.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 11 | 77.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 12 | 95.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 13 | 133.5 | Boom Goose | W |
| 14 | 85.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-8 | +2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-8 | +2 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-8 | +2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 6-8 | +2 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 6-8 | +2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-9 | +1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-9 | +1 |
 GooBoom Goose | 5-9 | +1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 4-10 | 0 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 6-8.