Actual wins6of 14
Expected wins6.4all-play based
Luck-0.4wins vs expected
Schedules better47%would win more
Most likely record6-8.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 2 | 97.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 3 | 94.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 4 | 77.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 5 | 124.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 6 | 107.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 7 | 109.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 8 | 147.0 | Boom Goose | Lrobbed |
| 9 | 142.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 10 | 164.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 11 | 72.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 12 | 123.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | Wlucky |
| 13 | 130.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | Lrobbed |
| 14 | 97.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 9-5 | +3 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 7-7 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-8 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 6-8 | 0 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 6-8 | 0 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-8 | 0 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-8 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 6-7-1 | 0 |
 GooBoom Goose | 5-9 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 9-5. With Jacob's you go 5-9.