Actual wins8of 14
Expected wins8.2all-play based
Luck-0.2wins vs expected
Schedules better40%would win more
Most likely record8-6.33 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 150.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 2 | 149.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 3 | 96.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 4 | 127.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 5 | 147.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 6 | 77.5 | Boom Goose | L |
| 7 | 89.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 8 | 134.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 9 | 130.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Lrobbed |
| 10 | 79.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 11 | 142.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | Lrobbed |
| 12 | 147.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 13 | 103.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | Wlucky |
| 14 | 125.5 | Team Sports | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 10-4 | +2 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 10-4 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 9-5 | +1 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 9-5 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 8-5-1 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-7 | -1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 7-7 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 7-7 | -1 |
 GooBoom Goose | 6-8 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jeff's schedule you go 10-4. With Jacob's you go 6-8.