Actual wins6of 14
Expected wins5.6all-play based
Luck+0.4wins vs expected
Schedules better24%would win more
Most likely record6-8.28 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 92.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 2 | 115.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 3 | 121.5 | Boom Goose | W |
| 4 | 95.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 5 | 106.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 6 | 99.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 7 | 160.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 8 | 55.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 9 | 130.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 10 | 153.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 11 | 89.0 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 12 | 148.0 | Boom Goose | W |
| 13 | 99.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 14 | 70.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 GooBoom Goose | 9-5 | +3 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-7 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-7 | +1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-8 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-9 | -1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 5-9 | -1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 4-10 | -2 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 4-10 | -2 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 3-10-1 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jacob's schedule you go 9-5. With Eric's you go 3-11.