Actual wins7of 14
Expected wins6.4all-play based
Luck+0.6wins vs expected
Schedules better24%would win more
Most likely record6-8.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 117.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 2 | 80.5 | Boom Goose | L |
| 3 | 112.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 4 | 105.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 5 | 145.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 6 | 139.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 7 | 86.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 8 | 124.5 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 9 | 111.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 10 | 130.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 11 | 104.0 | Boom Goose | L |
| 12 | 111.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 13 | 118.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 14 | 73.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 8-6 | +1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 8-6 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-7 | 0 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 7-7 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-8 | -1 |
| AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-8 | -1 |
 GooBoom Goose | 6-8 | -1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 5-9 | -2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 5-9 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 8-6. With Jeff's you go 5-9.