Actual wins6of 14
Expected wins8.7all-play based
Luck-2.7wins vs expected
Schedules better93%would win more
Most likely record9-5.26 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 116.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 2 | 112.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 3 | 126.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 4 | 142.0 | Booger Wolf | Lrobbed |
| 5 | 108.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 6 | 140.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 7 | 130.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 8 | 133.5 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 9 | 143.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 10 | 121.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 11 | 103.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 12 | 97.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 13 | 139.0 | Booger Wolf | Lrobbed |
| 14 | 90.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 LANCBoner Bandits | 11-3 | +5 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 9-5 | +3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 9-5 | +3 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 9-5 | +3 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 9-5 | +3 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 9-5 | +3 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-6 | +2 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 7-7 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-7 | +1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Lance's schedule you go 11-3.