Actual wins7of 14
Expected wins6.2all-play based
Luck+0.8wins vs expected
Schedules better17%would win more
Most likely record6-8.28 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 118.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 2 | 109.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | Wlucky |
| 3 | 119.5 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 4 | 109.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 5 | 138.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 6 | 85.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 7 | 87.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 8 | 150.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 9 | 83.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 10 | 103.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 11 | 79.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 12 | 116.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 13 | 153.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 14 | 102.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 LANCBoner Bandits | 9-5 | +2 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-7 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-6-1 | 0 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 7-7 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-8 | -1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-8 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 5-9 | -2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 4-10 | -3 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 4-10 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Lance's schedule you go 9-5. With Nick's you go 4-10.