Actual wins10of 14
Expected wins8.1all-play based
Luck+1.9wins vs expected
Schedules better6%would win more
Most likely record8-6.24 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 117.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 2 | 116.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 3 | 103.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 4 | 107.0 | Boner Bandits | Wlucky |
| 5 | 137.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 6 | 124.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 7 | 103.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Wlucky |
| 8 | 121.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 9 | 97.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 10 | 109.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 11 | 119.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 12 | 151.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 13 | 98.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 14 | 129.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 9-5 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 9-5 | -1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 9-5 | -1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 8-5-1 | -2 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 8-6 | -2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 8-6 | -2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 8-6 | -2 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 7-7 | -3 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-8 | -4 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Eric's you go 6-8.