Actual wins7of 14
Expected wins8.3all-play based
Luck-0.8wins vs expected
Schedules better74%would win more
Most likely record8-6.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51.5 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 2 | 115.5 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 3 | 119.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | T |
| 4 | 155.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 5 | 108.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 6 | 65.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 7 | 153.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 8 | 162.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 9 | 132.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 10 | 118.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 11 | 159.5 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 12 | 120.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 13 | 96.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 14 | 109.5 | Team Sports | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 LANCBoner Bandits | 10-4 | +3 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 9-5 | +2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 9-4-1 | +2 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 9-5 | +2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 8-6 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-6 | +1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 8-6 | +1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-6-1 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-8 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Lance's schedule you go 10-4. With Hunter's you go 6-8.