Actual wins4of 14
Expected wins3.8all-play based
Luck+0.2wins vs expected
Schedules better28%would win more
Most likely record4-10.32 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 93.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 2 | 91.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 3 | 81.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 4 | 93.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 5 | 84.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 6 | 121.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 7 | 112.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 8 | 99.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 9 | 91.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | L |
| 10 | 83.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 11 | 97.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 12 | 87.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 13 | 107.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 14 | 134.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-9 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-8-1 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 5-9 | +1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 4-10 | 0 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 3-11 | -1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 3-11 | -1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 3-11 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 3-11 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 3-11 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jesse's schedule you go 5-9. With Hunter's you go 3-11.