Actual wins8of 14
Expected wins6.6all-play based
Luck+1.4wins vs expected
Schedules better8%would win more
Most likely record7-7.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 112.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 2 | 111.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 3 | 75.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 4 | 148.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 5 | 95.5 | Boner Bandits | Wlucky |
| 6 | 96.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Wlucky |
| 7 | 120.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 8 | 81.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 9 | 139.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 10 | 105.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 11 | 139.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 12 | 172.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 13 | 122.0 | 6 Pack Big Macs | W |
| 14 | 60.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 8-6 | 0 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 8-6 | 0 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-7 | -1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-7 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-7 | -1 |
 VALL6 Pack Big Macs | 7-7 | -1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 5-9 | -3 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 5-9 | -3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 5-9 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Hunter's you go 5-9.