Actual wins8of 14
Expected wins7.6all-play based
Luck+0.4wins vs expected
Schedules better24%would win more
Most likely record8-6.30 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 119.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 2 | 68.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 3 | 135.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 4 | 111.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 5 | 168.5 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 6 | 117.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 7 | 111.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 8 | 91.5 | Bojack Horsecocks | Wlucky |
| 9 | 109.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 10 | 145.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 11 | 88.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 12 | 132.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 13 | 137.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 14 | 169.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 10-4 | +2 |
 BJBojack Horsecocks | 10-4 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-6 | 0 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 8-6 | 0 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 8-6 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-7 | -1 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-7 | -1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-9 | -3 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 5-8-1 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 10-4. With Will's you go 5-9.