Actual wins6of 14
Expected wins6.9all-play based
Luck-0.9wins vs expected
Schedules better59%would win more
Most likely record7-7.24 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 86.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 2 | 119.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 3 | 131.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 4 | 98.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 5 | 157.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | Lrobbed |
| 6 | 140.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 7 | 149.5 | Bojack Horsecocks | W |
| 8 | 120.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 9 | 71.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 10 | 104.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 11 | 110.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 12 | 116.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 13 | 106.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 14 | 117.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 8-6 | +2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 8-6 | +2 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 8-6 | +2 |
 BJBojack Horsecocks | 8-6 | +2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 7-7 | +1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-7 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 6-8 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 5-9 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 5-9 | -1 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Eric's schedule you go 8-6. With Jeff's you go 5-9.