Actual wins7of 14
Expected wins7.1all-play based
Luck-0.1wins vs expected
Schedules better40%would win more
Most likely record7-7.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 105.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 2 | 134.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 3 | 172.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 4 | 84.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 5 | 159.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 6 | 125.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 7 | 115.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | Wlucky |
| 8 | 100.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 9 | 78.0 | Bojack Horsecocks | L |
| 10 | 125.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 11 | 146.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 12 | 113.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 13 | 120.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 14 | 138.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 9-5 | +2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 8-6 | +1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 8-6 | +1 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-7 | 0 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 7-7 | 0 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 7-7 | 0 |
 BJBojack Horsecocks | 7-7 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-8 | -1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 5-9 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 9-5. With Will's you go 5-9.