Actual wins7of 14
Expected wins5.1all-play based
Luck+1.9wins vs expected
Schedules better7%would win more
Most likely record5-9.24 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 112.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 2 | 116.5 | Bojack Horsecocks | Wlucky |
| 3 | 120.0 | Boner Bandits | Wlucky |
| 4 | 108.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 5 | 141.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 6 | 89.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 7 | 116.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Wlucky |
| 8 | 98.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 9 | 106.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 10 | 77.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 11 | 129.0 | Bojack Horsecocks | W |
| 12 | 113.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 13 | 95.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 14 | 123.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-7 | 0 |
 BJBojack Horsecocks | 7-7 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 6-8 | -1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-9 | -2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 5-9 | -2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 5-9 | -2 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 5-9 | -2 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 3-11 | -4 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 3-11 | -4 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Hunter's you go 3-11.