Actual wins4of 14
Expected wins5.0all-play based
Luck-1.0wins vs expected
Schedules better66%would win more
Most likely record5-9.33 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 85.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 2 | 103.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 3 | 111.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 4 | 155.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 5 | 110.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 6 | 115.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 7 | 132.0 | Booger Wolf | Lrobbed |
| 8 | 88.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 9 | 119.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 10 | 82.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 11 | 126.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Lrobbed |
| 12 | 112.0 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 13 | 141.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 14 | 93.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-7 | +3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-8 | +2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-8 | +2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-8 | +2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 5-9 | +1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 5-9 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 4-10 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 4-10 | 0 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 2-12 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Eric's schedule you go 7-7. With Will's you go 2-12.