Actual wins8of 14
Expected wins7.7all-play based
Luck+0.3wins vs expected
Schedules better26%would win more
Most likely record8-6.31 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 111.0 | Bojack Horsecocks | Wlucky |
| 2 | 146.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 3 | 100.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 4 | 201.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 5 | 119.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 6 | 154.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 7 | 156.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 8 | 132.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 9 | 57.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 10 | 101.5 | Bojack Horsecocks | W |
| 11 | 97.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 12 | 131.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 13 | 137.5 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 14 | 113.5 | Team Sports | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 9-5 | +1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 9-5 | +1 |
 BJBojack Horsecocks | 9-5 | +1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 8-6 | 0 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 8-6 | 0 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 8-6 | 0 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 7-7 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 6-8 | -2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 5-8-1 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 9-5. With Hunter's you go 5-9.