Actual wins5of 14
Expected wins8.4all-play based
Luck-3.4wins vs expected
Schedules better98%would win more
Most likely record8-6.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 7 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 133.0 | Booger Wolf | W |
| 2 | 152.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 3 | 148.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Lrobbed |
| 4 | 98.0 | Bojack Horsecocks | L |
| 5 | 117.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 6 | 149.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 7 | 121.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 8 | 105.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 9 | 116.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 10 | 87.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 11 | 152.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 12 | 111.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 13 | 129.0 | Bojack Horsecocks | L |
| 14 | 174.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 10-4 | +5 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 10-4 | +5 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 9-5 | +4 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 9-5 | +4 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-6 | +3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 8-6 | +3 |
 BJBojack Horsecocks | 8-6 | +3 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-7 | +2 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 7-7 | +2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Mourice's schedule you go 10-4.