Actual wins7of 13
Expected wins4.6all-play based
Luck+2.4wins vs expected
Schedules better1%would win more
Most likely record4-9.30 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 86.5 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 2 | 128.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 3 | 125.5 | Booger Wolf | Wlucky |
| 4 | 200.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 5 | 79.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 6 | 153.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 7 | 99.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 8 | 87.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 9 | 80.0 | Bojack Horsecocks | L |
| 10 | 91.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 11 | 87.0 | Team Sports | Wlucky |
| 12 | 87.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 13 | 119.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-5 | +1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 6-7 | -1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-8 | -2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 4-9 | -3 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 4-9 | -3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 4-9 | -3 |
| BHBojack Horsecocks | 4-9 | -3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 3-10 | -4 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 3-10 | -4 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Taylor's schedule you go 8-5. With Lance's you go 3-10.