Actual wins10of 13
Expected wins9.3all-play based
Luck+0.7wins vs expected
Schedules better20%would win more
Most likely record9-4.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 136.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 2 | 164.5 | Bojack Horsecocks | W |
| 3 | 136.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 4 | 107.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 5 | 137.0 | Booger Wolf | Lrobbed |
| 6 | 121.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 7 | 118.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | Wlucky |
| 8 | 169.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 9 | 151.5 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 10 | 108.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 11 | 151.5 | Bojack Horsecocks | W |
| 12 | 180.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 13 | 122.0 | Team Sports | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 12-1 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 11-2 | +1 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 10-3 | 0 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 9-4 | -1 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 9-4 | -1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 9-4 | -1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 8-5 | -2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 8-5 | -2 |
| BHBojack Horsecocks | 8-5 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jeff's schedule you go 12-1. With Noah's you go 8-5.