Actual wins2of 13
Expected wins5.4all-play based
Luck-3.4wins vs expected
Schedules better98%would win more
Most likely record5-8.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 85.5 | Bojack Horsecocks | L |
| 2 | 112.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 3 | 71.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 4 | 117.0 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 5 | 109.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | L |
| 6 | 93.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 7 | 119.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 8 | 103.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 9 | 103.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 10 | 116.5 | Bojack Horsecocks | W |
| 11 | 187.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 12 | 120.0 | Team Sports | L |
| 13 | 103.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-5-1 | +5 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-7 | +4 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 6-7 | +4 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 6-7 | +4 |
| BHBojack Horsecocks | 6-7 | +4 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 5-8 | +3 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 4-8-1 | +2 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 4-9 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 4-9 | +2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jeff's schedule you go 7-6.