Actual wins11of 13
Expected wins8.1all-play based
Luck+2.9wins vs expected
Schedules better1%would win more
Most likely record8-5.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 144.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 2 | 116.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 3 | 88.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 4 | 133.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 5 | 157.5 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 6 | 88.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | Wlucky |
| 7 | 152.5 | Bojack Horsecocks | W |
| 8 | 114.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Lrobbed |
| 9 | 124.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 10 | 117.0 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 11 | 105.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 12 | 118.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | Wlucky |
| 13 | 140.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOLTTeam Sports | 10-3 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 9-4 | -2 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 9-4 | -2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 8-5 | -3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 8-5 | -3 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 8-5 | -3 |
| BHBojack Horsecocks | 8-5 | -3 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 7-6 | -4 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-7 | -5 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Josh's you go 6-7.