Actual wins3of 13
Expected wins5.0all-play based
Luck-2.0wins vs expected
Schedules better87%would win more
Most likely record5-8.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 137.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | Lrobbed |
| 2 | 92.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 3 | 148.0 | Boner Bandits | Lrobbed |
| 4 | 94.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 5 | 146.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 6 | 115.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 7 | 128.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 8 | 64.5 | Bojack Horsecocks | L |
| 9 | 94.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 10 | 78.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 11 | 95.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 12 | 128.5 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 13 | 74.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-6 | +4 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 6-7 | +3 |
| BHBojack Horsecocks | 6-7 | +3 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-8 | +2 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-8 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 5-8 | +2 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 5-8 | +2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 3-10 | 0 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 3-10 | 0 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jeff's schedule you go 7-6.