Actual wins5of 13
Expected wins5.1all-play based
Luck-0.1wins vs expected
Schedules better38%would win more
Most likely record5-8.25 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 101.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | W |
| 2 | 103.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 3 | 127.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 4 | 75.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 5 | 124.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 6 | 120.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 7 | 118.5 | Booger Wolf | L |
| 8 | 79.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | Wlucky |
| 9 | 103.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | Wlucky |
| 10 | 87.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 11 | 116.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | Lrobbed |
| 12 | 132.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 13 | 101.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 9-4 | +4 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-5 | +3 |
 BOOGBooger Wolf | 7-6 | +2 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 5-8 | 0 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 4-8-1 | -1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 4-9 | -1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 3-10 | -2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 3-10 | -2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 2-11 | -3 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Jeff's schedule you go 9-4. With Josh's you go 2-11.