Actual wins4of 13
Expected wins6.2all-play based
Luck-2.2wins vs expected
Schedules better88%would win more
Most likely record6-7.27 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 2 | 102.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 3 | 117.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 4 | 123.5 | 6 pack Big Macs | Lrobbed |
| 5 | 121.0 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 6 | 132.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 7 | 89.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 8 | 98.0 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 9 | 116.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 10 | 113.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 11 | 108.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 12 | 145.0 | 6 pack Big Macs | W |
| 13 | 118.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 8-5 | +4 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-6 | +3 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 7-6 | +3 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-7 | +2 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 6-7 | +2 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-7 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 6-7 | +2 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 6-7 | +2 |
 VALL6 pack Big Macs | 4-9 | 0 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Josh's schedule you go 8-5.