Actual wins8of 13
Expected wins5.8all-play based
Luck+2.2wins vs expected
Schedules better2%would win more
Most likely record6-7.29 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 120.0 | 6 pack Big Macs | L |
| 2 | 126.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 3 | 115.5 | Boner Bandits | Wlucky |
| 4 | 93.5 | Lik-A Rock | Wlucky |
| 5 | 68.5 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 6 | 111.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 7 | 67.5 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | L |
| 8 | 88.5 | Team Sports | L |
| 9 | 125.0 | 6 pack Big Macs | W |
| 10 | 137.5 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 11 | 102.5 | Boner Bandits | W |
| 12 | 136.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 13 | 108.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 LANCBoner Bandits | 8-5 | 0 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 7-6 | -1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-7 | -2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 6-7 | -2 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 6-7 | -2 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 6-7 | -2 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 5-8 | -3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-8 | -3 |
 VALL6 pack Big Macs | 3-10 | -5 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Nick's you go 3-10.