Actual wins11of 13
Expected wins9.3all-play based
Luck+1.7wins vs expected
Schedules better6%would win more
Most likely record9-4.26 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 149.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 2 | 139.0 | 6 pack Big Macs | W |
| 3 | 129.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 4 | 106.5 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 5 | 184.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 6 | 109.5 | Team Sports | W |
| 7 | 110.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | W |
| 8 | 141.5 | Lik-A Rock | W |
| 9 | 118.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 10 | 156.5 | 6 pack Big Macs | W |
| 11 | 149.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 12 | 123.0 | Boner Bandits | L |
| 13 | 110.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 13-0 | +2 |
 BOLTTeam Sports | 11-2 | 0 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 10-3 | -1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 10-3 | -1 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 9-3-1 | -2 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 9-4 | -2 |
 VALL6 pack Big Macs | 8-5 | -3 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 7-6 | -4 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 6-7 | -5 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Hunter's schedule you go 13-0. With Jesse's you go 6-7.