Actual wins6of 13
Expected wins5.4all-play based
Luck+0.6wins vs expected
Schedules better23%would win more
Most likely record5-8.26 of schedules
All possible schedules
Record distribution
NoteProbability of each win total across all random schedules, with the team's actual weekly scores held fixed. Red bar = actual record. Playoff line: 6 wins.
Week by week
Where the luck came from
| Wk | Score | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 125.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | W |
| 2 | 93.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 3 | 111.5 | Beast Mode Cowboy | L |
| 4 | 135.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | W |
| 5 | 141.0 | Boner Bandits | Lrobbed |
| 6 | 72.5 | Lik-A Rock | L |
| 7 | 109.5 | SHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | W |
| 8 | 128.0 | Pimp Trick Gangsta Click | W |
| 9 | 103.0 | Alan Autry Bubbas | L |
| 10 | 97.0 | Laces IN!! Laces IN!! | L |
| 11 | 129.0 | Team Sports | W |
| 12 | 111.0 | Johnson, Flaccid | L |
| 13 | 107.0 | Boner Bandits | Wlucky |
MethodLucky: wins that would have been losses against most of the league. Robbed: losses that would have been wins against most of the league.
Concrete alternatives
With someone else's schedule
| Schedule of | Record | vs actual |
|---|---|---|
 BOLTTeam Sports | 8-5 | +2 |
 AABAlan Autry Bubbas | 7-6 | +1 |
 NICASHINGS CHINESE RESTAURANT | 6-7 | 0 |
 WILSPimp Trick Gangsta Click | 5-8 | -1 |
 ROCKLik-A Rock | 5-8 | -1 |
 GARYLaces IN!! Laces IN!! | 5-8 | -1 |
 LANCBoner Bandits | 5-8 | -1 |
 BMCBeast Mode Cowboy | 4-9 | -2 |
 PROCJohnson, Flaccid | 4-9 | -2 |
MethodYour scores, their opponents (when their opponent was you, you play them). With Taylor's schedule you go 8-5. With Jeff's you go 4-9.